Why possession football is having less impact at the World Cup

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Toni Kroos reacts to Germany's elimination
Germany's passing game did not work this time around


Little would please the traditionalists of English football more than the downfall of the tiki-taka movement that revolutionised the game through Pep Guardiola's Barcelona and a world-dominating Spain a decade ago.

A year after Barcelona passed their way to the treble, Spain won their first ever World Cup by playing their opponents off the park with near total control of the ball. The basic idea was: 'If you have possession, the opposition cannot score'. And it worked.

These were two of the best and most successful sides in recent memory. It was little surprise that they - and Guardiola in particular - inspired others to follow suit.


A year into Pep's reign at Bayern Munich, after his side had won the Bundesliga title losing only two games, Germany were at it in on the world stage. They romped to World Cup glory with the lion's share of possession.










But at this year's World Cup it has been a different story. Just like when Leicester won the Premier League, possession has not been king.

Spain celebrate winning the 2010 world cup
Spain's 2010 World Cup winners passed their opponents off the park

Three teams averaged more than 65 per cent possession in the group stage: Spain (72.8 per cent), Germany (72.0 per cent) and Argentina (67.8 per cent). All three struggled.

Spain finished top of Group B, but scarcely deserved to, and could easily have ended up crashing out, so troubling have they found all three of their games.

Germany, of course, did go out at the group stage, after defeats to Mexico and South Korea in which they were hit ruthlessly on the break.


And Argentina were five minutes away from elimination before Marcos Rojo proved their unlikely saviour against Nigeria.

For each side, relentless possession, aimed at wearing their opponents down by tiring them out, became passive passing. Where they wanted incisive passing-and-moving they produced ponderous football.

Credit where it's due to the teams they faced. Morocco gave Spain a real scare, while Iceland caused Argentina all kinds of problems with just 22 per cent of the ball, and South Korea killed Germany's World Cup hopes with a similar share of possession. These performances follow a discernible 2018 World Cup pattern.

In the 48 group stage games, there were 14 instances of a team recording more than 65 per cent possession in a match. Of those 14, only five won the game.

What's more, of those five, three - Germany against Sweden, Brazil against Costa Rica and Argentina against Nigeria - required a winning goal after the 85th minute. Two of them needed an injury-time winner.


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